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Know that Market Experts aren’t Magicians

Some of the experts that try to predict the markets actually make money trading

the markets; however, they don’t make money because they have predicted the

market correctly, they make money because they have

traded

the market correctly.

THEY DON’T PROFIT FROM THEIR PREDICTIONS

There is a huge difference between trading correctly and making an accurate

market prediction. In the final analysis, predicting the market is not what’s

important. What is important is using sound trading practices. And if sound

trading habits are all that is important, there is no reason to try to predict the

markets in the first place. This is the reason strategy trading makes so much sense.

THEY HAVE LEARNED TRADING DISCIPLINE

I have watched many market gurus continually make incorrect market predictions

and still break even or make a little money because they have followed a

disciplined approach to trading. More importantly, they used the exact same

principles that I will show you how to use in creating your strategy. It is these

principles that make the money,

not

the prediction.

To be a disciplined trader, you have to know how and why to enter the market,

when to exit the market, and where to place your money management stops. You

need to manage your risk and maximize your cash flow. A sound trading strategy

includes entries, exits, and stops as well as sound cash management strategies.

Even the market gurus and famous traders don’t make money from their

predictions, they make it from proper trading discipline. Over the years, they have

learned the discipline to control their risk through money management. They have

learned to take the trades as they come, and not forgo a trade because they are

second-guessing their strategy or the market. These are the same practices that you

will learn to include in your trading strategy.

THEY PROFIT FROM SOUND CASH MANAGEMENT & RISK CONTROL

Sound money management and risk control are the keys to being a profitable

trader. I will say over and over again, it is not the prediction or the latest and

greatest indicator that makes the profit in trading, it is how you apply sound

trading discipline with superior cash management and risk control that makes the

difference between success and failure.

I often tell the story of the great fish restaurant that opened up just down the

street from my office. It opened with great fanfare and was ranked in the top five

restaurants in the city. The food was outstanding. But it only took a little more

than a year and this great restaurant was out of business. Why? Because the key to

running a good restaurant is not the food…it is cash management and risk

control. It is making sure your business is run efficiently, keeping your costs (risk)

in control, and managing your staff effectively. If you believe that the taste of the

food is what makes a great restaurant, think of how great the food is at your

favorite fast food restaurant. But, someday, watch how well that restaurant is run.

Just as in the restaurant business, the key to profits in trading is not in the

prediction or the indicator, but how well the trading strategy is designed and

executed. The ability to achieve risk control and cash management will make the

difference between a successful trader and an unsuccessful trader. If you ever have

the opportunity to watch a successful trader, you will see that they don’t worry

about where the market is going or about predicting when the next big move will

take place. They aren’t looking to tweak their indicator. They are worried about

their risk on each trade. Is the trade being executed correctly? How much of their

total account is at risk? Are the stops in the right place? And so on.

THEY DON’T HAVE SUPERIOR PERFORMANCE NUMBERS

If you want to have some fun, look at the performance of a successful market

expert, one who is known for his or her market predictions and trading expertise.

You will find that their performance numbers really aren’t any better than an

average trading strategy. The percentage of profitable trades, the return on the

account, average profit to average loss, number of losing trades in a row…all of

these trading parameters are within the average trading strategy performance

parameters.

Why is this? Because you can’t predict where the market will go and when it will

move. But if you use correct strategic trading disciplines, you will make money

whether you try to predict the market or just trade a good strategy. You might as

well save yourself a lot of time, energy, and mental anguish and trade a good

strategy.

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